Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.112362 0.171791 0.241452 0.326522 0.425377 0.534774 0.663281
2025-11-30 0.041569 0.108144 0.204002 0.337002 0.505938 0.705263 0.951260
2025-12-07 0.012729 0.070112 0.173339 0.332229 0.546794 0.810154 1.144440
2025-12-14 0.000892 0.040314 0.141287 0.316074 0.566632 0.885229 1.299369
2025-12-21 NaN 0.032400 0.141723 0.343904 0.642513 1.028573 1.535841
2025-12-28 NaN 0.026490 0.143195 0.371848 0.717801 1.170898 1.771162
2026-01-04 NaN 0.019189 0.137710 0.386664 0.773629 1.287576 1.974411
2026-01-11 NaN 0.017707 0.146197 0.424727 0.862667 1.447707 2.232345
2026-01-18 NaN 0.014781 0.149032 0.452478 0.936622 1.588103 2.465724
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009133 0.139086 0.455966 0.974246 1.680099 2.637857
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002403 0.112587 0.424644 0.957639 1.698278 2.715170
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000001 0.084961 0.384530 0.923880 1.690803 2.757694
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.071121 0.371248 0.932830 1.744180 2.882889
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.067169 0.379934 0.977402 1.847748 3.074773
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.058676 0.375488 0.999428 1.919114 3.223960
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.046552 0.358071 0.998306 1.957022 3.328649
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.051095 0.387819 1.077801 2.109900 3.585682
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.055618 0.417565 1.157416 2.263127 3.843429
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.055382 0.433320 1.213011 2.382151 4.056025
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.063456 0.473712 1.311236 2.562336 4.349994
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.067793 0.503101 1.390575 2.715645 4.608509
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.063437 0.506791 1.425645 2.805730 4.783314
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.048047 0.473624 1.395437 2.801437 4.832224